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Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce zero hurricanes?

$210.50
Sep 28, 2026 04:00 AM
0 %

This market will resolve to "Yes" if no Atlantic-basin tropical or subtropical cyclone is officially classified as a hurricane by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) or NOAA at any time after the creation of this market and before December 1, 2026 - 00:00 UTC.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market:

• A "hurricane" is any tropical or subtropical cyclone in the North Atlantic basin (including the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico) that the NHC/NOAA classifies as having maximum sustained 1-minute surface winds of at least 64 knots (74 mph).

• Official classifications made by the NHC or NOAA (including realtime advisories and the agency's post-season best-track/HURDAT2 dataset) are binding. If the agencies later revise a system's status in their official best-track/HURDAT2 data or Tropical Cyclone Reports, those official records will be used to determine the final outcome.

• Only classifications made after the creation of this market are eligible for determining the outcome.

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