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Politics · News

Will US–Russia–Ukraine talks open in Abu Dhabi by Nov 15?

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any time after the creation of this market and by November 15, 2026 - 23:59 UTC, official delegations of the Russian Federation, Ukraine, and the United States hold an in-person trilateral negotiating session in Abu Dhabi, and the occurrence is publicly confirmed by at least one of the following official sources: the Kremlin (http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news), the Office of the President of Ukraine (https://www.president.gov.ua/en/news/all), or the UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs (https://www.mofa.gov.ae/en/mediahub/news).

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This includes cases where the meeting is postponed past the deadline, moved to a different city, held only bilaterally (between two parties), or conducted solely virtually.

For the purposes of this market:

- “In-person trilateral negotiating session” means a single meeting held in Abu Dhabi attended in person by official delegation representatives from all three countries.

- A qualifying “confirmation” must be a published statement, news item, or official press release appearing on one of the listed official sources' websites or an official document linked from those pages.

- Only events that occur after this market’s deployment are eligible for resolution.

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