This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alpenglow consensus upgrade is activated on Solana's mainnet-beta network at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 – 00:00 PST.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market, "activated" means the Alpenglow consensus feature gate has flipped live on Solana mainnet-beta (via the Agave client, e.g. Agave 4.3 or a later release), such that Alpenglow consensus is actively securing the network — not merely shipped in code with the activation switch left off, and not merely reaching testnet, devnet, or a partial/graduated stake rollout ahead of the feature gate flip.

Announcements of a target date, governance approval (e.g. SIMD-0326), or partial validator client adoption do not by themselves qualify unless the feature gate has actually activated on mainnet.

Source(s):

• Official Solana Foundation and Anza communications (e.g. solana.com/upgrades/alpenglow, Anza release notes)

• Onchain feature-activation data for the relevant SIMD/feature gate

• Consensus of credible reports from reputable crypto news outlets