Sports · Entertainment · Pop-culture · Community
Prediction Market on a Streamer's Biometrics Before 2027?
市场数据
规则
上链语系:英文This market will resolve to "Yes" if a prediction market platform (e.g. Polymarket, Kalshi, or a similar publicly accessible platform) launches a tradable market wagering on a specific streamer's personal biological or behavioral state - including but not limited to sleep patterns, heart rate, cortisol/stress levels, or emotional breakdowns - as part of an official sponsorship or partnership deal between that streamer and the prediction market company, at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The market must be publicly listed and tradable on the platform, and the underlying sponsorship/partnership arrangement between the streamer and the prediction market company must be confirmed by official communications or credible reporting. General sponsorship deals that do not include a tradable market on the streamer's personal biological or behavioral state do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market:
• The market must be publicly listed and tradable on the platform, and the underlying sponsorship/partnership arrangement between the streamer and the prediction market company must be confirmed by official communications or credible reporting. General sponsorship deals that do not include a tradable market on the streamer's personal biological or behavioral state do not qualify.
• “Publicly viewable” means the stream or recording is accessible to the general public on common platforms (e.g., Twitch, YouTube, X, TikTok) or on the streamer’s publicly accessible website; private channels behind passwords or inaccessible paywalls do not qualify.
• “Verifiably linked” requires a clear, contemporaneous connection between the biometric data and the streamer (e.g., on-screen telemetry labeled with the streamer’s handle and synchronized to the video, an explicit on-stream statement by the streamer linking the data with timestamps, or publication of raw biometric data by the streamer on an official channel with timestamps matching the stream). Third-party claims or leaks that do not provide the original public recording or a direct streamer confirmation do not qualify.
• If multiple people appear in the same recording, the biometric data must be clearly attributed to the named streamer to qualify.
• Only occurrences that happen after this market is created are eligible for resolution.
来源
- Publicly accessible stream or recording demonstrating the biometric data (e.g., Twitch, YouTube, TikTok, X video)
- Official communications from prediction market companies (e.g. Polymarket, Kalshi)
- Official statements or channels of the streamer(s) involved
- Official statements or posts by the streamer on their verified channels confirming the biometric data
- Consensus of credible reports from reputable news outlets (used only if the primary public recording or streamer confirmation is unavailable)