规则

This market resolves to "Yes" if the People's Republic of China (PRC) takes military action against Taiwan, which results in a physical military confrontation between the two nations, before Jan 1, 2026, 00:00 TST (Taiwan Standard Time, UTC+8)

Otherwise this market resolves to "No."

For the purpose of this market, the occurrence of military actions must be confirmed by at least one of the following sources for this market to resolve to "Yes."

-Official statements from the Taiwanese Ministry of National Defense.

-Reports from reputable international news outlets

-Announcements from international defense or intelligence agencies

Cyber attacks carried out by China or Taiwan count as "military action" for the purposes of this market, as long as two of the above sources confirm the incident.