Politics · Community
Will Argentina's annual real GDP growth be >= 3.5% for 2026?
市场数据
规则
上链语系:英文This market will resolve to “Yes” if Argentina's official annual real GDP growth rate for the calendar year 2026 is greater than or equal to 3.5%, as published after the creation of this market and before April 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market: the “official annual real GDP growth rate for the calendar year 2026” is the percentage change in Argentina's real GDP for 2026 relative to 2025 using Argentina's official methodology. The primary resolution source is Argentina's National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INDEC). If INDEC has not published a final official annual 2026 figure by April 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC, the market will use the IMF World Economic Outlook (April 2027 vintage) as the first fallback, then the World Bank annual data as a secondary fallback. If multiple fallback sources publish different 2026 annual growth rates, the market will use the median of those published values. Only values published after market creation are eligible for resolution.
来源
• Argentina — National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (INDEC)
• International Monetary Fund — World Economic Outlook (WEO) (April 2027 vintage) (contingent)
• World Bank — World Development Indicators (contingent)
• Consensus of credible reports from major economic news outlets (if needed)