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Politics

Will Marine Le Pen win France's 2027 presidential election?

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上链语系:英文
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marine Le Pen is officially declared elected President of the French Republic following the 2027 French presidential election.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market:

"Officially declared elected" means the final official election results proclaimed by the French Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel).

If no candidate receives an absolute majority of valid votes in the first round, this market will remain open until the Constitutional Council officially proclaims the winner following the second round.

If the election is postponed, delayed, or repeated before a President is officially declared elected, this market will remain open until the Constitutional Council proclaims the winner of the resulting presidential election.

来源

Primary source:

- French Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel) official publications

Secondary sources:

- Official announcements from the Élysée Palace (Présidence de la République)

- Journal Officiel de la République Française (Official Journal)

- Consensus of reporting from Reuters, AFP, AP, Le Monde, BBC, or other major reputable news organizations

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