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Will Polymarket Suffer a $10M+ Hack in 2026?

$201.00
Jun 28, 2026 02:12 AM
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket suffers a hack, exploit, or security breach resulting in a loss of $10,000,000 or more at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 – 00:00 PST.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market:

• A qualifying hack includes any unauthorized exploit of Polymarket's smart contracts, infrastructure, or platform resulting in a verifiable loss of user or protocol funds totalling $10,000,000 or more in a single incident or coordinated series of incidents.

• The loss of funds must be verifiable onchain or through official Polymarket disclosures.

• Compromised private keys leading to loss of funds qualify, provided the loss is verifiable onchain or confirmed by official sources.

• Oracle manipulation or frontend exploits resulting in verifiable fund losses qualify.

• Only incidents occurring after the creation of this market are eligible for resolution.

• The value of the hack is measured by the realized loss incurred by users or the protocol as a result of the incident. Unrealized or disputed losses do not count toward the qualifying threshold.

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