Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States of America and Iran reach and publicly announce a final, legally binding nuclear agreement that is signed, exchanged, or formally adopted by both governments at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 PST.

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market: a “final, legally binding nuclear agreement” must be a written agreement (bilateral or multilateral) that includes specific, binding provisions addressing Iran’s nuclear program (for example: limits, inspection/verification regimes, or sanctions-relief terms) and is signed, exchanged, or officially ratified by representatives of both the United States and Iran. Announcements of intent, provisional frameworks, memoranda of understanding, press statements without a signed/adopted agreement, or agreements acknowledged by only one party do not qualify. Only agreements first signed or formally adopted after this market’s creation are eligible for resolution.