Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Reserve Bank of Australia increases the official cash rate target at its board decision announced on November 3, 2026, before November 3, 2026 - 23:59 UTC.

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market: an “increase” means the official cash rate target announced by the RBA is strictly higher than the previously published target of 4.60%. The qualifying announcement must be published by the Reserve Bank of Australia on its official Board decisions page or in an official RBA statement accessible to the public. A published hold, a published cut, a cancellation or postponement of the November 3, 2026 decision, or the absence of any qualifying RBA announcement by 23:59 UTC on November 3, 2026 will result in a “No” outcome. Only announcements made after this market’s deployment are eligible for resolution. All times are UTC.