Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of BTC experiences a sharp downside wick of 15% or more at any point after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market, a "sharp downside wick" is defined as an intra-hour or intra-day candle in which BTC's price drops 15% or more from the candle's open price to its low, before recovering any amount, as shown on a major price aggregator or exchange candlestick chart.

The wick must reflect a genuine traded price on a major exchange and not solely an isolated data glitch on a single illiquid venue; a move confirmed on at least one major exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Bybit, Kraken, OKX) qualifies.

Only wicks occurring after market deployment are eligible for resolution.