Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States headline CPI inflation, measured as the year-over-year percentage change, for December 2026 is strictly greater than 3.0%, as officially reported.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market:

• Headline inflation refers to the CPI-U (All Urban Consumers), not seasonally adjusted, including all items.

• The value used will be the year-over-year CPI percentage change for December 2026.

• Resolution is based on the first official release of the December 2026 CPI data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

If the CPI data for December 2026 is delayed, this market will resolve based on the first official release of the December 2026 CPI data.

If the CPI data for December 2026 is never released, this market will resolve based on the very first reported CPI print of 2027.