Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC, a nationally representative public-opinion poll conducted and published by Datafolha, Ipec, IBOPE, PoderData, DataSenado, or another recognized national Brazilian polling organization reports that strictly more than 50% of Brazilian adults (age 18+) respond affirmatively to a question explicitly asking whether they trust or have confidence in Brazilian politics, the political system, politicians in Brazil, or the national government.

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market:

- “Affirmatively” includes any response option that clearly indicates trust or confidence (e.g., “sim”, “confio”, “tenho confiança”); neutral/undecided/“don't know” responses do not count as affirmative.

- Polls must be publicly reported with methodology and sample frame; the poll result must be clearly attributable to the named pollster and publicly accessible. If multiple qualifying polls are published, the most recent qualifying poll will determine resolution.

- Only polls conducted and published after the creation of this market are eligible for resolution.