This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026 23:59 UTC, MSCI officially announces the exclusion of Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy Inc., ticker: MSTR) from any of its equity indexes due to its digital asset holdings.

Otherwise, the market resolves to "No".

Key Definitions

Official Announcement:

Published on MSCI's official website (msci.com) or official MSCI communications

Explicitly states Strategy/MicroStrategy/MSTR will be excluded or removed from an MSCI index

Exclusion is due to digital asset holdings criteria (e.g., >50% cryptocurrency assets, DAT classification)

MSCI Indexes:

Any MSCI equity index (e.g., MSCI USA, MSCI World, MSCI ACWI)

What Counts as "Yes":

MSCI announces exclusion, regardless of implementation date

Exclusion from one or multiple MSCI indexes

What Counts as "No":

No announcement by deadline

MSCI announces they will NOT exclude Strategy

MSCI consultation ends with no new exclusion rule

Announcement only says "under review" or "considering" without final decision

Edge Cases

Expected January 15, 2026 Date:

Merger/Acquisition:

If Strategy ceases to exist before announcement → N/A (resolve 50/50)