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Polymarket

Will Polymarket adopt a new oracle mechanism before January 31, 2027?

ConditionalPolymarket Token in 2026?onNO 85 %
View parent market
6.40k cNO

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket begins using a new oracle or resolution mechanism for newly created markets at any time after the creation of this market and before January 31, 2027 - 00:00 PST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market:

- A "new oracle mechanism" is defined as a resolution system that is not the UMA Optimistic Oracle and was not already in use by Polymarket at the time of this market's creation (for example, an in-house resolution system, a new third-party oracle, or a newly built dispute or arbitration system).

- The mechanism may replace UMA or be used alongside it, as long as it is used to officially resolve at least one newly created Polymarket market.

- Only mechanisms first adopted after the creation of this market are eligible. Oracle systems already used by Polymarket before market creation (including UMA and any existing price-feed resolution sources) do not qualify.

- Announcements, plans, testnet deployments, pilots, or experiments that are not used to resolve a live market do not qualify.

- Minor changes to UMA's parameters, bond sizes, dispute windows, or proposer whitelists do not qualify.

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Event Probability Graph

Trueo - Will Polymarket adopt a new oracle mechanism before January 31, 2027?