Community
Will any Arena.ai benchmark report a single model score above 2,000 before 2027?
Market Data
Rules
On-chain Language: EnglishThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any benchmark, leaderboard, or officially published Arena.ai benchmark page publicly reports a single model's "Score" or "Total" strictly greater than 2,000 at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market: "Arena.ai" refers to the Arena platform and any official Arena subdomains or pages (e.g., leaderboards, benchmark result pages) under arena.ai. A qualifying "score" is the numeric "Score", "Model Score", or "Total" value displayed or published by Arena.ai itself for an individual model on a given benchmark or leaderboard. Only scores first posted or published after this market's creation are eligible; scores that were publicly available prior to market creation do not qualify. The outcome must be verifiable from Arena.ai's official pages or an official Arena.ai publication; if Arena.ai removes or alters a page, archived copies (e.g., Wayback Machine) of the official Arena.ai content may be used as supporting evidence.
Source
- Arena.ai official leaderboards and benchmark pages (e.g., https://arena.ai/leaderboard)
- Official Arena.ai publications or announcements
- Consensus of credible secondary reporting (major AI news sites) when needed as corroboration