Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the stablecoins USDE, USDS, USD1, or USDG trades below $0.98 USD (i.e., loses 2% of value) for a continuous period of 24 consecutive hours at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC.

Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market:

- “Trades below $0.98 USD” means the reported USD price for the stablecoin is strictly less than $0.98 USD.

- A qualifying 24-hour period must be a contiguous 24-hour interval during which the depeg condition is confirmed by at least two independent data sources listed in the Source field (see below).

- The primary resolution feeds are CoinGecko (preferred), CoinMarketCap (contingent), major centralized exchange trade data (e.g., Coinbase, Binance, Kraken, OKX), and reputable onchain oracle feeds (e.g., Chainlink) where available. If two or more of these independent feeds show the token below $0.98 for the same contiguous 24-hour interval, the depeg is confirmed.

- Flash/outlier trade(s) that are later corrected by the exchange(s) or that are visible only on a single venue do not qualify unless confirmed by a second independent source.

- If a stablecoin undergoes an official redenomination, migration, or ticker change after market creation, the market will use the price-adjusted successor token as documented by the project’s official communications.

- Only depeg events that begin after the creation of this market are eligible for resolution. If data is unavailable or ambiguous, the outcome will be determined by consensus of credible reports from the sources listed below.