This market will resolve to “Yes” if any AI company is explicitly recognized as having achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) by at least one qualifying third-party institution after the initiation of this market and before January 1, 2028, 00:00 PST.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying recognition must:

Explicitly state that the company has achieved AGI (not “near-AGI,” “AGI-like,” or similar terms), and originate from at least one of the following sources:

• A national government or government agency

• A widely recognized academic or scientific body

• A widely recognized international standards organization

• A consensus of reporting from reputable international news outlets explicitly citing independent confirmation

Company self-announcements alone are insufficient.

If no qualifying recognition occurs by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No.”