$200 / $200 目标
1 资助者
已达 100.00%
预估概率
Yes$148 (74 %)
No$52 (26 %)
毕业条件
- 总募资 ≥ 200 TYD
- 单边募资比例（Yes 与 No）≥ 0.01%
两项条件均须满足，市场方可进入上线阶段。
状态：已毕业
此市场已达到募资目标，现已在交易平台上线。
市场已上线
初始流动性已注入，交易现已开放。
上线摘要
总流动性$200
74 %Yes 概率
26 %No 概率
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 13, 2026 23:59 UTC, Flávio Bolsonaro, his electoral coalition, or the Liberal Party (PL) files a formal petition with Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) or the Federal Supreme Court (STF) asking to annul or invalidate the result of the October 25, 2026 presidential runoff, as shown in official TSE or STF records (tse.jus.br, portal.stf.jus.br) or confirmed by the filer's official statement. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
Announcements of intent and narrow recount or audit requests do not count.
来源
- Official TSE results and filings (tse.jus.br): https://resultados.tse.jus.br/oficial/app/index.html
- Official STF portal (portal.stf.jus.br): https://portal.stf.jus.br
- Official statements from Flávio Bolsonaro, his electoral coalition, or the Liberal Party (PL) (verified press releases or official social accounts)
- Reuters/UOL report (Oct 25, 2026): https://noticias.uol.com.br/ultimas-noticias/reuters/2026/10/25/flavio-bolsonaro-diz-que-e-impossivel-reconhecer-resultado-da-eleicao-e-vai-pedir-anulacao.htm
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