$200 / $200 目标
1 资助者
已达 100.00%
预估概率
Yes$104 (52 %)
No$96 (48 %)
毕业条件
- 总募资 ≥ 200 TYD
- 单边募资比例(Yes 与 No)≥ 0.01%
两项条件均须满足,市场方可进入上线阶段。
状态:已毕业
此市场已达到募资目标,现已在交易平台上线。
市场已上线
初始流动性已注入,交易现已开放。
上线摘要
总流动性$200
52 %Yes 概率
48 %No 概率
规则
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Reserve Bank of Australia increases the official cash rate target at its board decision announced on November 3, 2026, before November 3, 2026 - 23:59 UTC.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market: an “increase” means the official cash rate target announced by the RBA is strictly higher than the previously published target of 4.60%. The qualifying announcement must be published by the Reserve Bank of Australia on its official Board decisions page or in an official RBA statement accessible to the public. A published hold, a published cut, a cancellation or postponement of the November 3, 2026 decision, or the absence of any qualifying RBA announcement by 23:59 UTC on November 3, 2026 will result in a “No” outcome. Only announcements made after this market’s deployment are eligible for resolution. All times are UTC.
来源
- Reserve Bank of Australia — Board decisions page: https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-decisions/
- Official Reserve Bank of Australia media releases and statements
- Consensus of credible reports from major financial news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg) as fallback
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