Community, 政治
Will Mitch McConnell finish his current Senate term?
Jul 14, 2026, 11:41 PM
Community, 政治
Will Mitch McConnell finish his current Senate term?
Jul 14, 2026, 11:41 PM
$200 / $200 目标
1 资助者
已达 100.00%
预估概率
Yes$124 (62 %)
No$76 (38 %)
毕业条件
- 总募资 ≥ 200 TYD
- 单边募资比例（Yes 与 No）≥ 0.01%
两项条件均须满足，市场方可进入上线阶段。
状态：已毕业
此市场已达到募资目标，现已在交易平台上线。
市场已上线
初始流动性已注入，交易现已开放。
上线摘要
总流动性$200
62 %Yes 概率
38 %No 概率
规则
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell remains a seated United States Senator continuously from the time this market is created through January 3, 2027 - 00:00 PST.
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market:
• “Remain a seated United States Senator” means McConnell is officially holding the Senate office and the seat is not officially vacated prior to the resolution timestamp.
• Temporary medical absences, missed votes, or leaves of absence do not constitute vacating the seat.
来源
• U.S. Senate official records (senate.gov)
• Biographical Directory of the U.S. Congress (bioguide.congress.gov)
• Official statements from Senator Mitch McConnell’s office or the Secretary of the Senate
• Consensus of credible news organizations (e.g., AP, Reuters, NYT)
日期
提案结束： Jul 14, 2026, 11:41 PM
最早解决日期： Jul 15, 2026, 12:41 AM
最早解决日期： Jul 15, 2026, 12:41 AM
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