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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States of America and Iran reach and publicly announce a final, legally binding nuclear agreement that is signed, exchanged, or formally adopted by both governments at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 PST. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market: a “final, legally binding nuclear agreement” must be a written agreement (bilateral or multilateral) that includes specific, binding provisions addressing Iran’s nuclear program (for example: limits, inspection/verification regimes, or sanctions-relief terms) and is signed, exchanged, or officially ratified by representatives of both the United States and Iran. Announcements of intent, provisional frameworks, memoranda of understanding, press statements without a signed/adopted agreement, or agreements acknowledged by only one party do not qualify. Only agreements first signed or formally adopted after this market’s creation are eligible for resolution.

Official statements or published texts from the U.S. Government (White House, U.S. Department of State) Official statements or published texts from the Government of Iran (President’s office, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or equivalent official body) Official published agreement text (signed treaty/instrument or jointly published signed agreement) Consensus of credible international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC) for corroboration