Community, 金融
Will Brent crude trade above $90 before August 15, 2026?
Jul 11, 2026, 7:54 PM
Community, 金融
Will Brent crude trade above $90 before August 15, 2026?
Jul 11, 2026, 7:54 PM
$219.73 / $200 目标
2 资助者
已达 109.86%
预估概率
Yes$69.36 (31 %)
No$150.36 (68 %)
毕业条件
- 总募资 ≥ 200 TYD
- 单边募资比例(Yes 与 No)≥ 0.01%
两项条件均须满足,市场方可进入上线阶段。
状态:已毕业
此市场已达到募资目标,现已在交易平台上线。
市场已上线
初始流动性已注入,交易现已开放。
上线摘要
总流动性$219.73
31.5 %Yes 概率
68.4 %No 概率
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brent crude trades at a price strictly greater than $90.00 USD per barrel for a continuous period of at least 10 minutes at any time after the creation of this market and before August 15, 2026 - 00:00 UTC.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market:
• "Brent crude" refers to the ICE Brent front-month futures contract (ICE LCOc1, continuously rolled front-month). The primary resolution source will be the last traded/real-time price published by ICE.
• If ICE trade data is unavailable, the outcome will be determined by consensus of prices reported by Bloomberg, Refinitiv/Reuters, S&P Global Platts, or Argus.
• Only price observations and trades occurring after the creation/deployment of this market are eligible for resolution.
来源
• ICE Futures Europe (Brent front-month futures) - primary price feed
• Bloomberg price feeds (fallback)
• Reuters/Refinitiv price feeds (fallback)
• S&P Global Platts or Argus price assessments (fallback)
• Consensus of credible market reporting if primary and fallback feeds are unavailable
日期
提案结束: Jul 11, 2026, 7:54 PM
最早解决日期: Jul 11, 2026, 8:54 PM
最早解决日期: Jul 11, 2026, 8:54 PM
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