Community
Will any Arena.ai benchmark report a single model score above 2,000 before 2027?
Jul 10, 2026, 1:30 AM
Community
Will any Arena.ai benchmark report a single model score above 2,000 before 2027?
Jul 10, 2026, 1:30 AM
$200 / $200 目标
1 资助者
已达 100.00%
预估概率
Yes$34 (17 %)
No$166 (83 %)
毕业条件
- 总募资 ≥ 200 TYD
- 单边募资比例(Yes 与 No)≥ 0.01%
两项条件均须满足,市场方可进入上线阶段。
状态:已毕业
此市场已达到募资目标,现已在交易平台上线。
市场已上线
初始流动性已注入,交易现已开放。
上线摘要
总流动性$200
17 %Yes 概率
83 %No 概率
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any benchmark, leaderboard, or officially published Arena.ai benchmark page publicly reports a single model's "Score" or "Total" strictly greater than 2,000 at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market: "Arena.ai" refers to the Arena platform and any official Arena subdomains or pages (e.g., leaderboards, benchmark result pages) under arena.ai. A qualifying "score" is the numeric "Score", "Model Score", or "Total" value displayed or published by Arena.ai itself for an individual model on a given benchmark or leaderboard. Only scores first posted or published after this market's creation are eligible; scores that were publicly available prior to market creation do not qualify. The outcome must be verifiable from Arena.ai's official pages or an official Arena.ai publication; if Arena.ai removes or alters a page, archived copies (e.g., Wayback Machine) of the official Arena.ai content may be used as supporting evidence.
来源
- Arena.ai official leaderboards and benchmark pages (e.g., https://arena.ai/leaderboard)
- Official Arena.ai publications or announcements
- Consensus of credible secondary reporting (major AI news sites) when needed as corroboration
日期
提案结束: Jul 10, 2026, 1:30 AM
最早解决日期: Jul 10, 2026, 2:30 AM
最早解决日期: Jul 10, 2026, 2:30 AM
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