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Community, Crypto
Will Morpho Midnight reach $100M in active borrows before 2027?
Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
0xd211...2fe7
$200 / $200 Goal
1 funders

100.00% reached

Est. Prob.
Yes$12 (6 %)
No$188 (94 %)
Graduation conditions
  • Total funding ≥ 200 TYD
Met
  • Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%
Met

Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.

Status: Graduated

This market has reached its funding goal and is now live on the trading platform.

Market is Live

Initial liquidity provided. Trading is now active.

Launch Summary

Total Liquidity$200
6 %Yes Probability
94 %No Probability

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC, the total outstanding borrowed principal (i.e., active borrows) across Morpho Midnight smart contracts equals or exceeds $100,000,000 USD, as reported by the official Morpho Midnight dashboard or by a consensus of credible on-chain analytics. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market: • “Active borrows” means the sum of outstanding borrowed principal denominated in USD across the deployed Morpho Midnight smart contracts (excluding unrealized interest not yet added to principal). • USD values are determined using the price data applied by the reporting source at the time of the report (e.g., CoinGecko/CoinMarketCap-based conversions or the price oracle used by the reporting dashboard). • Only measurements and reports produced after this market’s creation are eligible to trigger a “Yes” outcome. • If the official Morpho Midnight dashboard becomes permanently unavailable and no credible on-chain analytics can produce an equivalent publicly verifiable borrow total for the resolution window, the market may be resolved by consensus of credible on-chain sources.

Source

- Official Morpho / Morpho Midnight dashboard or official Morpho communications - Public Dune Analytics dashboards tracking Morpho Midnight - DeFiLlama / other reputable on-chain analytics aggregators - On-chain contract data (Etherscan or equivalent block explorers) and verifiable on-chain queries

Date

Proposal End Date: Sep 7, 2026, 12:00 AM
The earliest date of resolution: Sep 14, 2026, 12:00 AM

Your Funds

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Top 10 Funders

No funders found

Activity

Info

Launchpad
0xeD3e...1af6
Proposal ID
439
Created
—

FAQ

What happens during the "Funding" phase?
During the funding phase, users can contribute TYD to a prediction market proposal, and signal which side they favor. Funds are temporarily held in the Launchpad (escrow) contract until the funding threshold is reached.
What happens when the funding goal is reached?
Once the total amount of contributions meets the threshold, the system will automatically deploy a Prediction Market on-chain. Your funded TYD will then be converted into: • Outcome Tokens (YES or NO, corresponding to the side you favored), and • LP Shares, representing your ranged liquidity position for the opposing outcome. Note: The outcome tokens you receive represent the side which you chose to "fund," and the LP shares represent the side which you want to "divest." The tokens in the ranged liquidity position will be paired with TYD in a full range between the starting odds and 1 TYD. You may withdraw the underlying ranged liquidity for your LP shares at any time. A ---% market deployment fee will be deducted at this stage.
How does a Market “Graduate?”
Graduation occurs once a market reaches the funding threshold, and both outcomes receive a non-zero funding amount. This allows the protocol to surface high value markets, and set the initial odds for trading.
What if the market doesn't reach its goal?
If the funding goal is not reached before the deadline (End of Escrow), the market will fail to launch. You can withdraw your contribution at any time, and no fee will be charged for withdrawals after the funding period ends.
Can I withdraw my funds during the funding period?
Yes. You may withdraw your contribution at any time before the funding period ends. However: • A ---% fee applies to withdrawals made during the funding period. • Withdrawals that would leave less than 1% of the threshold in the pool are not allowed (you can withdraw a smaller amount or your full balance instead).
How is my Outcome Token price determined after launch?
When the Prediction Market is deployed, the initial pool price is calculated based on the total amount funded for each side (YES vs NO). This determines the starting probability for trading.
Who can create a market?
Anyone can create a prediction market proposal. Once a proposal meets the funding threshold, it will automatically be deployed as a tradable Prediction Market.
Where can I view my current funding positions?
You can find all the markets you've contributed to under Portfolio → Funded. It shows your current positions, contribution amounts, and allows withdrawals before deployment.
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