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Ozon Top-10 Warehouse Hits Before 2027?
Aug 25, 2026, 12:45 PM
myhasko.eth
$200 / $200 Goal
1 funders

100.00% reached

Est. Prob.
Yes$22 (11 %)
No$178 (89 %)
Graduation conditions
  • Total funding ≥ 200 TYD
Met
  • Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%
Met

Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.

Status: Graduated

This market has reached its funding goal and is now live on the trading platform.

Market is Live

Initial liquidity provided. Trading is now active.

Launch Summary

Total Liquidity$200
11 %Yes Probability
89 %No Probability

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any time on or before December 31, 2026, at 23:59:59 UTC, each and every one of the following ten Ozon warehouse facilities in Russia has sustained observable physical damage from a military/weapons strike: Orenburg (SEZ "Orenburzhye") Orientir Zapad (Istra) Nizhny Novgorod Vatutinki (New Moscow) Chapayevsk Dagestan (Tyube) Bugry Yaroslavl (Kryukovo) Tyumen Poroshkino Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market: Historical and New Strikes: All strikes occurring at any point prior to the deadline (including those before the creation date of this market) count toward resolution. Qualifying Strike: A qualifying strike is defined as a kinetic weapons delivery or sabotage event (e.g., UAV/drone strike, cruise/ballistic missile, rocket, artillery, or explosive device) attributable to Ukrainian military, security services, or aligned forces, causing verifiable damage to the warehouse building, infrastructure, or stored inventory. Total destruction is not required. Attribution & Verification: Ukrainian attribution is established if claimed by Ukrainian official channels (MoD, GUR, SBU), stated by Russian local/federal authorities, or widely reported by independent media/OSINT consensus. Verification Standard: Each strike must be verified by at least two independent credible sources (official statements from Ozon, military/government communiqués, reputable global news outlets, or geolocated OSINT/satellite imagery). Completeness: If any of the 10 facilities has not suffered a verified qualifying strike by December 31, 2026, 23:59:59 UTC, the market resolves to "No". The market will resolve to "Yes" immediately if all 10 hits are verified before this date.

Source

Official Ozon press releases or verified corporate announcements Official Ukrainian military and government communications (MoD, GUR, SBU, General Staff) Major reputable international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, Bloomberg) Corroborated OSINT and commercial satellite imagery providers (e.g., Maxar, Planet Labs, Bellingcat, ISW)

Date

Proposal End Date: Aug 25, 2026, 12:45 PM
The earliest date of resolution: Aug 25, 2026, 1:45 PM

Your Funds

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Top 10 Funders

No funders found

Activity

Info

Launchpad
0xeD3e...1af6
Proposal ID
416
Created
—

FAQ

What happens during the "Funding" phase?
During the funding phase, users can contribute TYD to a prediction market proposal, and signal which side they favor. Funds are temporarily held in the Launchpad (escrow) contract until the funding threshold is reached.
What happens when the funding goal is reached?
Once the total amount of contributions meets the threshold, the system will automatically deploy a Prediction Market on-chain. Your funded TYD will then be converted into: • Outcome Tokens (YES or NO, corresponding to the side you favored), and • LP Shares, representing your ranged liquidity position for the opposing outcome. Note: The outcome tokens you receive represent the side which you chose to "fund," and the LP shares represent the side which you want to "divest." The tokens in the ranged liquidity position will be paired with TYD in a full range between the starting odds and 1 TYD. You may withdraw the underlying ranged liquidity for your LP shares at any time. A ---% market deployment fee will be deducted at this stage.
How does a Market “Graduate?”
Graduation occurs once a market reaches the funding threshold, and both outcomes receive a non-zero funding amount. This allows the protocol to surface high value markets, and set the initial odds for trading.
What if the market doesn't reach its goal?
If the funding goal is not reached before the deadline (End of Escrow), the market will fail to launch. You can withdraw your contribution at any time, and no fee will be charged for withdrawals after the funding period ends.
Can I withdraw my funds during the funding period?
Yes. You may withdraw your contribution at any time before the funding period ends. However: • A ---% fee applies to withdrawals made during the funding period. • Withdrawals that would leave less than 1% of the threshold in the pool are not allowed (you can withdraw a smaller amount or your full balance instead).
How is my Outcome Token price determined after launch?
When the Prediction Market is deployed, the initial pool price is calculated based on the total amount funded for each side (YES vs NO). This determines the starting probability for trading.
Who can create a market?
Anyone can create a prediction market proposal. Once a proposal meets the funding threshold, it will automatically be deployed as a tradable Prediction Market.
Where can I view my current funding positions?
You can find all the markets you've contributed to under Portfolio → Funded. It shows your current positions, contribution amounts, and allows withdrawals before deployment.
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