Community, Stocks, Strategy, Crypto, Finance, News
Will Strategy (MSTR) be a net seller of Bitcoin for the rest of 2026?
Aug 9, 2026, 3:50 PM
Community, Stocks, Strategy, Crypto, Finance, News
Will Strategy (MSTR) be a net seller of Bitcoin for the rest of 2026?
Aug 9, 2026, 3:50 PM
$200 / $200 Goal
1 funders
100.00% reached
Est. Prob.
Yes$16 (8 %)
No$184 (92 %)
Graduation conditions
- Total funding ≥ 200 TYD
- Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%
Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.
Status: Graduated
This market has reached its funding goal and is now live on the trading platform.
Market is Live
Initial liquidity provided. Trading is now active.
Launch Summary
Total Liquidity$200
8 %Yes Probability
92 %No Probability
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy; ticker: MSTR) has a net reduction in its total Bitcoin holdings (measured in BTC) between the time this market is created and January 1, 2027 - 00:00 PST. For the purposes of this market, a "net reduction" means the company's total reported and onchain-attributable BTC balance at January 1, 2027 - 00:00 PST is strictly less than its total reported and onchain-attributable BTC balance at the exact time this market is created.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market:
• "Total Bitcoin holdings" will be determined using Strategy's official disclosures and SEC filings (e.g., 8-K, 10-Q, 10-K) where available; onchain balances from wallets the company has publicly identified or that are widely and credibly attributed to Strategy; and, if official numbers are unavailable or incomplete, a consensus of credible reporting and onchain evidence.
• Onchain wallet balances will count only if the wallets are publicly identified by the company or are credibly attributed to Strategy by multiple reputable sources.
• Temporary transfers, custodial movements, transfers used solely for collateral, lending, custodial accounting reclassifications, or internal wallet reorganizations do not qualify as a "net reduction" unless they result in a permanent decrease in the company's total BTC holdings as measured above.
• Official company disclosures and SEC filings take precedence over third-party estimates; where discrepancies exist, a consensus of credible sources will be used to determine the outcome.
Source
• Official Strategy (MicroStrategy) disclosures and SEC filings (8-K, 10-Q, 10-K)
• Official Strategy press releases and investor presentations
• Onchain transaction data and block explorers for wallets publicly attributed to Strategy
• Consensus of credible reports from reputable news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, WSJ, CoinDesk)
Date
Proposal End Date: Aug 9, 2026, 3:50 PM
The earliest date of resolution: Aug 9, 2026, 4:50 PM
The earliest date of resolution: Aug 9, 2026, 4:50 PM
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Top 10 Funders
No funders found