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Community, Politics
Will Andy Burnham be elected UK Prime Minister at the next general election?
Jul 24, 2026, 7:57 PM
rich-2.eth
$0 / $200 Goal
0 funders

0.00% reached

Need $200 to go live

Est. Prob.
Yes$0 (0 %)
No$0 (0 %)
Graduation conditions
  • Total funding ≥ 200 TYD
Not Met
  • Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%
Not Met

Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.

Status: Funding Phase

This proposal requires more liquidity to become a live prediction market. Fund now to help it graduate.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom as a direct result of the first UK parliamentary general election held after the creation of this market, at any time before January 1, 2031 - 00:00 UTC. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market: • The "first UK parliamentary general election held after the creation of this market" means the next nationwide UK general election (House of Commons) that occurs after this market's deployment. Only appointments that follow from that election's outcome are eligible. • "As a direct result of" means the appointment follows the declared election results and the monarch (or official state process) invites Andy Burnham to form a government on the basis of those results (e.g., his party or a coalition formed because of the election). Appointments that occur solely due to internal party leadership changes, resignations, votes of no confidence, caretaker arrangements, or other processes not triggered by the qualifying general election do NOT qualify. • Only events occurring after market creation are eligible. If no qualifying general election is held before January 1, 2031 - 00:00 UTC, this market will resolve to "No."

Source

• Official UK government announcements (GOV.UK) • Official Palace/Monarchy communications (e.g., Buckingham Palace or Royal Household statements) • Consensus of credible reports from major news organisations (e.g., BBC, Reuters, The Guardian)

Date

Proposal End Date: Jul 24, 2026, 7:57 PM
The earliest date of resolution: Jul 24, 2026, 8:57 PM

Your Funds

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Activity

Info

Launchpad
0xeD3e...1af6
Proposal ID
284
Created
—

FAQ

What happens during the "Funding" phase?
During the funding phase, users can contribute TYD to a prediction market proposal, and signal which side they favor. Funds are temporarily held in the Launchpad (escrow) contract until the funding threshold is reached.
What happens when the funding goal is reached?
Once the total amount of contributions meets the threshold, the system will automatically deploy a Prediction Market on-chain. Your funded TYD will then be converted into: • Outcome Tokens (YES or NO, corresponding to the side you favored), and • LP Shares, representing your ranged liquidity position for the opposing outcome. Note: The outcome tokens you receive represent the side which you chose to "fund," and the LP shares represent the side which you want to "divest." The tokens in the ranged liquidity position will be paired with TYD in a full range between the starting odds and 1 TYD. You may withdraw the underlying ranged liquidity for your LP shares at any time. A ---% market deployment fee will be deducted at this stage.
How does a Market “Graduate?”
Graduation occurs once a market reaches the funding threshold, and both outcomes receive a non-zero funding amount. This allows the protocol to surface high value markets, and set the initial odds for trading.
What if the market doesn't reach its goal?
If the funding goal is not reached before the deadline (End of Escrow), the market will fail to launch. You can withdraw your contribution at any time, and no fee will be charged for withdrawals after the funding period ends.
Can I withdraw my funds during the funding period?
Yes. You may withdraw your contribution at any time before the funding period ends. However: • A ---% fee applies to withdrawals made during the funding period. • Withdrawals that would leave less than 1% of the threshold in the pool are not allowed (you can withdraw a smaller amount or your full balance instead).
How is my Outcome Token price determined after launch?
When the Prediction Market is deployed, the initial pool price is calculated based on the total amount funded for each side (YES vs NO). This determines the starting probability for trading.
Who can create a market?
Anyone can create a prediction market proposal. Once a proposal meets the funding threshold, it will automatically be deployed as a tradable Prediction Market.
Where can I view my current funding positions?
You can find all the markets you've contributed to under Portfolio → Funded. It shows your current positions, contribution amounts, and allows withdrawals before deployment.