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Will $HYPE Hit $100 on Hyperliquid in 2026?
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM
$200 / $200 Goal
1 funders

100.00% reached

Est. Prob.
Yes$66 (33 %)
No$134 (67 %)
Graduation conditions
  • Total funding ≥ 200 TYD
Met
  • Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%
Met

Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.

Status: Graduated

This market has reached its funding goal and is now live on the trading platform.

Market is Live

Initial liquidity provided. Trading is now active.

Launch Summary

Total Liquidity$200
33 %Yes Probability
67 %No Probability

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the HYPE/USD spot price on the Hyperliquid exchange (app.hyperliquid.xyz) satisfies a qualifying 10-minute continuous period at or above $100.00 at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 – 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying 10-minute period: A qualifying period begins at the UTC timestamp of the first Hyperliquid-reported trade execution at or above $100.00. The period is satisfied if every subsequent trade recorded by the Hyperliquid REST API (api.hyperliquid.xyz) within the following 600 seconds also prints at or above $100.00, with no inter-trade gap exceeding 5 minutes. The clock resets if any trade within the window prints below $100.00. All timestamps are evaluated in UTC. Data source precedence: • Primary: Hyperliquid REST API live trade execution prints (api.hyperliquid.xyz) — this is the sole authoritative source for trade-level resolution. • Secondary fallback: If the primary source is documented as unavailable or shows a data gap exceeding 5 minutes during a potential qualifying window, CoinGecko HYPE/USD 1-minute OHLC data (UTC-aligned candles) is used as a fallback. Under this fallback, every 1-minute candle LOW must be ≥ $100.00 for 10 consecutive candles to constitute a qualifying period. Tie-breaker: In the event of a conflict between primary and secondary sources, Hyperliquid REST API data governs. Secondary data may only be used if primary data is confirmed unavailable for the relevant window, and the secondary data must unambiguously satisfy the qualifying criteria with no candle LOW below $100.00. Data outages and corrections: Any potential qualifying window that fully or partially overlaps with a documented Hyperliquid API outage or a data gap exceeding 5 minutes is void and does not count toward resolution. If Hyperliquid issues official corrections to trade data within 72 hours of a potential qualifying event, the corrected data governs. Market resolution may be delayed pending confirmation of complete and accurate data for the relevant window. Only qualifying periods occurring after the creation of this market are eligible for resolution.

Source

• Hyperliquid REST API trade execution data — api.hyperliquid.xyz (primary) • CoinGecko HYPE/USD 1-minute OHLC data — coingecko.com (secondary fallback only) • Official Hyperliquid status communications (for outage documentation)

Date

Proposal End Date: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM
The earliest date of resolution: Jul 1, 2026, 4:55 PM

Your Funds

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Top 10 Funders

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Activity

Info

Launchpad
Proposal ID
23
Created

FAQ

What happens during the "Funding" phase?
During the funding phase, users can contribute TYD to a prediction market proposal, and signal which side they favor. Funds are temporarily held in the Launchpad (escrow) contract until the funding threshold is reached.
What happens when the funding goal is reached?
Once the total amount of contributions meets the threshold, the system will automatically deploy a Prediction Market on-chain. Your funded TYD will then be converted into: • Outcome Tokens (YES or NO, corresponding to the side you favored), and • LP Shares, representing your ranged liquidity position for the opposing outcome. Note: The outcome tokens you receive represent the side which you chose to "fund," and the LP shares represent the side which you want to "divest." The tokens in the ranged liquidity position will be paired with TYD in a full range between the starting odds and 1 TYD. You may withdraw the underlying ranged liquidity for your LP shares at any time. A ---% market deployment fee will be deducted at this stage.
How does a Market “Graduate?”
Graduation occurs once a market reaches the funding threshold, and both outcomes receive a non-zero funding amount. This allows the protocol to surface high value markets, and set the initial odds for trading.
What if the market doesn't reach its goal?
If the funding goal is not reached before the deadline (End of Escrow), the market will fail to launch. You can withdraw your contribution at any time, and no fee will be charged for withdrawals after the funding period ends.
Can I withdraw my funds during the funding period?
Yes. You may withdraw your contribution at any time before the funding period ends. However: • A ---% fee applies to withdrawals made during the funding period. • Withdrawals that would leave less than 1% of the threshold in the pool are not allowed (you can withdraw a smaller amount or your full balance instead).
How is my Outcome Token price determined after launch?
When the Prediction Market is deployed, the initial pool price is calculated based on the total amount funded for each side (YES vs NO). This determines the starting probability for trading.
Who can create a market?
Anyone can create a prediction market proposal. Once a proposal meets the funding threshold, it will automatically be deployed as a tradable Prediction Market.
Where can I view my current funding positions?
You can find all the markets you've contributed to under Portfolio → Funded. It shows your current positions, contribution amounts, and allows withdrawals before deployment.