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Community, Politics
Will a U.S. ally officially express doubt that the September 11, 2001 attacks were a terrorist attack by December 31, 2028?
Aug 30, 2026, 1:25 PM
0x6e03...7a33
$200 / $200 Goal
1 funders

100.00% reached

Est. Prob.
Yes$6 (3 %)
No$194 (97 %)
Graduation conditions
  • Total funding ≥ 200 TYD
Met
  • Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%
Met

Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.

Status: Graduated

This market has reached its funding goal and is now live on the trading platform.

Market is Live

Initial liquidity provided. Trading is now active.

Launch Summary

Total Liquidity$200
3 %Yes Probability
97 %No Probability

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any time after the creation of this market and before December 31, 2028 - 00:00 UTC, the government of a country that, on the date this market is created, is either (a) a member of NATO or (b) designated by the U.S. Department of State as a Major Non‑NATO Ally, publicly issues an official statement that explicitly expresses doubt that the September 11, 2001 attacks were carried out primarily by foreign terrorist organizations (for example by asserting a non‑terrorist, internal‑government, or other non‑foreign‑terrorist explanation). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market: - "Official statement" means a statement posted or published by an official government channel (e.g., official government website, ministry/foreign office press release, official transcript of remarks by a head of state/government or minister in an official capacity, an official parliamentary/legislative resolution, or an official statement by a government-designated spokesperson). Statements by private individuals, non-governmental party communications, unverified leaks, opinion pieces, or social media posts not issued via verified official government channels do not qualify. - "Expresses doubt" requires explicit language indicating that the 9/11 attacks were not primarily the result of foreign terrorist organizations, or that an alternative non‑terrorist/internal explanation is asserted or endorsed. Mere calls for further investigation, rhetorical questions, or statements noting uncertainty without expressing doubt do not qualify. - Only statements occurring after this market's creation are eligible for resolution. Corroboration by the official source is required; if the official source is inaccessible, resolution may rely on a consensus of credible international news reports that directly cite the official government communication.

Source

- Official government publications of the country making the statement (official websites, ministry/foreign office press releases, official gazettes, or parliamentary records) - Official transcripts or press briefings published by the relevant government - Verified official government social media accounts (only when the post is replicated on or linked from an official government website) - Consensus of credible international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC) for corroboration if direct official sources are unavailable

Date

Proposal End Date: Aug 30, 2026, 1:25 PM
The earliest date of resolution: Aug 30, 2026, 2:25 PM

Your Funds

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Top 10 Funders

No funders found

Activity

Info

Launchpad
0xeD3e...1af6
Proposal ID
430
Created
—

FAQ

What happens during the "Funding" phase?
During the funding phase, users can contribute TYD to a prediction market proposal, and signal which side they favor. Funds are temporarily held in the Launchpad (escrow) contract until the funding threshold is reached.
What happens when the funding goal is reached?
Once the total amount of contributions meets the threshold, the system will automatically deploy a Prediction Market on-chain. Your funded TYD will then be converted into: • Outcome Tokens (YES or NO, corresponding to the side you favored), and • LP Shares, representing your ranged liquidity position for the opposing outcome. Note: The outcome tokens you receive represent the side which you chose to "fund," and the LP shares represent the side which you want to "divest." The tokens in the ranged liquidity position will be paired with TYD in a full range between the starting odds and 1 TYD. You may withdraw the underlying ranged liquidity for your LP shares at any time. A ---% market deployment fee will be deducted at this stage.
How does a Market “Graduate?”
Graduation occurs once a market reaches the funding threshold, and both outcomes receive a non-zero funding amount. This allows the protocol to surface high value markets, and set the initial odds for trading.
What if the market doesn't reach its goal?
If the funding goal is not reached before the deadline (End of Escrow), the market will fail to launch. You can withdraw your contribution at any time, and no fee will be charged for withdrawals after the funding period ends.
Can I withdraw my funds during the funding period?
Yes. You may withdraw your contribution at any time before the funding period ends. However: • A ---% fee applies to withdrawals made during the funding period. • Withdrawals that would leave less than 1% of the threshold in the pool are not allowed (you can withdraw a smaller amount or your full balance instead).
How is my Outcome Token price determined after launch?
When the Prediction Market is deployed, the initial pool price is calculated based on the total amount funded for each side (YES vs NO). This determines the starting probability for trading.
Who can create a market?
Anyone can create a prediction market proposal. Once a proposal meets the funding threshold, it will automatically be deployed as a tradable Prediction Market.
Where can I view my current funding positions?
You can find all the markets you've contributed to under Portfolio → Funded. It shows your current positions, contribution amounts, and allows withdrawals before deployment.
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