$200 / $200 Goal
1 funders
100.00% reached
Est. Prob.
Yes$42 (21 %)
No$158 (79 %)
Graduation conditions
- Total funding ≥ 200 TYD
- Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%
Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.
Status: Graduated
This market has reached its funding goal and is now live on the trading platform.
Market is Live
Initial liquidity provided. Trading is now active.
Launch Summary
Total Liquidity$200
21 %Yes Probability
79 %No Probability
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a playable version of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6 / GTA VI) is leaked and made publicly available for download and play by the general public at any time after the creation of this market and before October 1, 2026 - 00:00 PST.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market:
• A “playable version” means a functional game build or executable that third parties can install and control/play (not limited to video footage, screenshots, maps, or non-interactive assets).
• Public availability requires the files to be distributed or hosted in a manner accessible to the broader public (e.g., via torrent, file-sharing sites, or widely shared links), even if subsequently taken down.
• Leaked gameplay videos, trailers, maps, or assets alone do not qualify.
• Only leaks occurring after market deployment are eligible.
Source
• Consensus of credible reports from reputable gaming news outlets (e.g., IGN, PC Gamer, Eurogamer, Rockstar Intel)
• Official statements from Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive
• Verifiable public distribution evidence (torrents, file hosts, archives)
Date
Proposal End Date: Aug 25, 2026, 5:04 PM
The earliest date of resolution: Aug 25, 2026, 6:04 PM
The earliest date of resolution: Aug 25, 2026, 6:04 PM
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