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Will stETH depeg from 1:1 with ETH by more than 2% before September 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the spot price of 1 stETH, denominated in ETH, is strictly less than 0.9800 ETH or strictly greater than 1.0200 ETH for a continuous period of at least 100 minutes at any time after the creation of this market and before September 30, 2026 - 00:00 UTC.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market…

• The spot price will be determined using the median of reputable sources sampled at 1-minute intervals, including on-chain and centralized exchange data (see Source list).

• If a direct stETH/ETH quote is unavailable on an exchange, a derived stETH/ETH rate may be used by dividing stETH/USD by ETH/USD from the same exchange.

• Measurements must be based only on data timestamped after this market’s creation; any qualifying period that began before market creation does not count.

• If on-chain and exchange data are inconsistent or partially unavailable, the outcome will be determined by the consensus of credible price feeds and reporting.

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