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Finance · Chinese · Community

Will at least 60 of China’s 70 cities report month-on-month new-home price declines for June 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 60 of the 70 cities listed in the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) "70 large and medium-sized cities" monthly new-home price dataset report a month-on-month decrease in newly-built home prices for June 2026, as shown in the official NBS June 2026 release, before August 1, 2026 - 00:00 UTC.

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market:

- "Month-on-month decrease" means the NBS-reported month-on-month percentage change for the city’s reported new (newly-built commercial residential) home price is strictly negative in the NBS June 2026 table for 70 cities.

- The count is taken from the NBS table that lists all 70 cities in the "70 large and medium-sized cities" dataset; if the NBS issues a corrected/revised June 2026 table before the cutoff, the corrected figures will be used.

- Only data published after the creation of this market are eligible for resolution.

- If the NBS does not publish comparable 70-city June 2026 data and no clear consensus of credible independent sources exists by the cutoff, the market may be cancelled.

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