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Community, Crypto
Will ETH outperform the Top 10 Cryptos, Mag 7, and Big 3 Memory Stocks through 2027?
Jul 13, 2026, 3:46 AM
$201 / $200 Goal
1 funders

100.50% reached

Est. Prob.
Yes$25 (12 %)
No$176 (87 %)
Graduation conditions
  • Total funding ≥ 200 TYD
Met
  • Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%
Met

Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.

Status: Graduated

This market has reached its funding goal and is now live on the trading platform.

Market is Live

Initial liquidity provided. Trading is now active.

Launch Summary

Total Liquidity$201
12.4 %Yes Probability
87.5 %No Probability

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) has the highest percentage price return, measured from the time of this market's creation to January 1, 2027 - 00:00 PST, compared to each of the following assets individually: every cryptocurrency ranked in the top 10 by market capitalization (excluding stablecoins) at the time of market creation, each of the "Magnificent 7" stocks (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, and Tesla), and each of the "Big 3" memory chipmakers (Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, percentage return is calculated using each asset's spot/closing price at market creation versus its spot/closing price at the resolution deadline. If the composition of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap changes after market creation, the top 10 list is fixed as of the market's creation date and is not updated. Only price movements occurring after this market's creation are eligible for resolution. If any comparator asset undergoes a stock split, token migration, merger, or delisting, split/merger-adjusted prices from a major exchange or price aggregator will be used.

Source

- CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap (for cryptocurrency prices and top 10 rankings) - Major centralized exchange price data (Coinbase, Binance) for ETH and top 10 crypto prices - Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg (for Mag 7 and memory stock closing prices) - Consensus of credible financial reports

Date

Proposal End Date: Jul 13, 2026, 3:46 AM
The earliest date of resolution: Jul 13, 2026, 4:46 AM

Your Funds

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Top 10 Funders

No funders found

Activity

Info

Launchpad
Proposal ID
170
Created

FAQ

What happens during the "Funding" phase?
During the funding phase, users can contribute TYD to a prediction market proposal, and signal which side they favor. Funds are temporarily held in the Launchpad (escrow) contract until the funding threshold is reached.
What happens when the funding goal is reached?
Once the total amount of contributions meets the threshold, the system will automatically deploy a Prediction Market on-chain. Your funded TYD will then be converted into: • Outcome Tokens (YES or NO, corresponding to the side you favored), and • LP Shares, representing your ranged liquidity position for the opposing outcome. Note: The outcome tokens you receive represent the side which you chose to "fund," and the LP shares represent the side which you want to "divest." The tokens in the ranged liquidity position will be paired with TYD in a full range between the starting odds and 1 TYD. You may withdraw the underlying ranged liquidity for your LP shares at any time. A ---% market deployment fee will be deducted at this stage.
How does a Market “Graduate?”
Graduation occurs once a market reaches the funding threshold, and both outcomes receive a non-zero funding amount. This allows the protocol to surface high value markets, and set the initial odds for trading.
What if the market doesn't reach its goal?
If the funding goal is not reached before the deadline (End of Escrow), the market will fail to launch. You can withdraw your contribution at any time, and no fee will be charged for withdrawals after the funding period ends.
Can I withdraw my funds during the funding period?
Yes. You may withdraw your contribution at any time before the funding period ends. However: • A ---% fee applies to withdrawals made during the funding period. • Withdrawals that would leave less than 1% of the threshold in the pool are not allowed (you can withdraw a smaller amount or your full balance instead).
How is my Outcome Token price determined after launch?
When the Prediction Market is deployed, the initial pool price is calculated based on the total amount funded for each side (YES vs NO). This determines the starting probability for trading.
Who can create a market?
Anyone can create a prediction market proposal. Once a proposal meets the funding threshold, it will automatically be deployed as a tradable Prediction Market.
Where can I view my current funding positions?
You can find all the markets you've contributed to under Portfolio → Funded. It shows your current positions, contribution amounts, and allows withdrawals before deployment.