Trueo - Will any Arena.ai benchmark report a single model score above 2,000 before 2027?

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Will any Arena.ai benchmark report a single model score above 2,000 before 2027?

Jul 10, 2026, 1:30 AM

0x76cc...1cb0

$200 / $200 Goal

1 funders

100.00% reached

Est. Prob.

Yes$34 (17 %)

No$166 (83 %)

Graduation conditions

Total funding ≥ 200 TYD

Met

Single-side funding ratio (Yes and No) ≥ 0.01%

Met

Both conditions must be met for this market to advance to Live Phase.

Status: Graduated

This market has reached its funding goal and is now live on the trading platform.

Market is Live

Initial liquidity provided. Trading is now active.

Launch Summary

Total Liquidity$200

17 %Yes Probability

83 %No Probability

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any benchmark, leaderboard, or officially published Arena.ai benchmark page publicly reports a single model's "Score" or "Total" strictly greater than 2,000 at any time after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 - 00:00 UTC. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market: "Arena.ai" refers to the Arena platform and any official Arena subdomains or pages (e.g., leaderboards, benchmark result pages) under arena.ai. A qualifying "score" is the numeric "Score", "Model Score", or "Total" value displayed or published by Arena.ai itself for an individual model on a given benchmark or leaderboard. Only scores first posted or published after this market's creation are eligible; scores that were publicly available prior to market creation do not qualify. The outcome must be verifiable from Arena.ai's official pages or an official Arena.ai publication; if Arena.ai removes or alters a page, archived copies (e.g., Wayback Machine) of the official Arena.ai content may be used as supporting evidence.

Source

- Arena.ai official leaderboards and benchmark pages (e.g., https://arena.ai/leaderboard) - Official Arena.ai publications or announcements - Consensus of credible secondary reporting (major AI news sites) when needed as corroboration

Date

Proposal End Date: Jul 10, 2026, 1:30 AM
The earliest date of resolution: Jul 10, 2026, 2:30 AM

Your Funds

Connect wallet to view your position

Top 10 Funders

No funders found

Activity

Info

Launchpad

0xeD3e...1af6

Proposal ID

146

Created

—

FAQ

What happens during the "Funding" phase?

During the funding phase, users can contribute TYD to a prediction market proposal, and signal which side they favor. Funds are temporarily held in the Launchpad (escrow) contract until the funding threshold is reached.

What happens when the funding goal is reached?

Once the total amount of contributions meets the threshold, the system will automatically deploy a Prediction Market on-chain. Your funded TYD will then be converted into: • Outcome Tokens (YES or NO, corresponding to the side you favored), and • LP Shares, representing your ranged liquidity position for the opposing outcome. Note: The outcome tokens you receive represent the side which you chose to "fund," and the LP shares represent the side which you want to "divest." The tokens in the ranged liquidity position will be paired with TYD in a full range between the starting odds and 1 TYD. You may withdraw the underlying ranged liquidity for your LP shares at any time. A ---% market deployment fee will be deducted at this stage.

How does a Market “Graduate?”

Graduation occurs once a market reaches the funding threshold, and both outcomes receive a non-zero funding amount. This allows the protocol to surface high value markets, and set the initial odds for trading.

What if the market doesn't reach its goal?

If the funding goal is not reached before the deadline (End of Escrow), the market will fail to launch. You can withdraw your contribution at any time, and no fee will be charged for withdrawals after the funding period ends.

Can I withdraw my funds during the funding period?

Yes. You may withdraw your contribution at any time before the funding period ends. However: • A ---% fee applies to withdrawals made during the funding period. • Withdrawals that would leave less than 1% of the threshold in the pool are not allowed (you can withdraw a smaller amount or your full balance instead).

How is my Outcome Token price determined after launch?

When the Prediction Market is deployed, the initial pool price is calculated based on the total amount funded for each side (YES vs NO). This determines the starting probability for trading.

Who can create a market?

Anyone can create a prediction market proposal. Once a proposal meets the funding threshold, it will automatically be deployed as a tradable Prediction Market.

Where can I view my current funding positions?

You can find all the markets you've contributed to under Portfolio → Funded. It shows your current positions, contribution amounts, and allows withdrawals before deployment.

View Live Market

Wallet	Type	For	Time